The AHP analysis of the Peruvian hostage crisis of 1996-1997 is particularly significant because it was the first, and to my knowledge, only time that an AHP analysis of a hostage situation was done while the events were unfolding (Saaty & Mu, 1997). It shows the power of hierarchical thinking in terms of summarizing a complex crisis into two simple hierarchies of 3 to 4 criteria and 4 alternatives. In addition, this study shows the power of sensitivity analysis to compensate for the lack of experts to estimate the true criteria weights of the parties and, finally, the analysis was completed within the five-week period of the crisis duration and on time to potentially influence the outcome.Â
conflict resolution, hostage crisis, negotiation, AHP conflict, AHP crisis
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